Insight

Reference

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Supporting source

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Cumulative Thai EV battery installed base entering scrap pipeline 2027-2030

~25-40 GWh

As ofCumulative 2027-2030·Sources3·Supporting

Range reflects the 2022-2024 BEV cohort reaching 8-year battery degradation between 2030-32 plus warranty replacements, accident write-offs, and early-life pack defects. Anchors operator capacity-planning math.

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Figure in context

Range reflects the 2022-2024 BEV cohort reaching 8-year battery degradation between 2030-32 plus warranty replacements, accident write-offs, and early-life pack defects. Anchors operator capacity-planning math.

Range reflects the 2022-2024 BEV cohort reaching 8-year battery degradation between 2030-32 plus warranty replacements, accident write-offs, and early-life pack defects. Anchors operator capacity-planning math.

Time scope

Cumulative 2027-2030

Source basis

Supporting source

Interpretation notes

What this tells you

Range reflects the 2022-2024 BEV cohort reaching 8-year battery degradation between 2030-32 plus warranty replacements, accident write-offs, and early-life pack defects. Anchors operator capacity-planning math.

What not to do with it

Use the linked report for interpretation and keep basis differences explicit.

Related figures

Adjacent numbers that add context without drowning the value.

2027 modelled
~THB 8-14B

Thai EV battery recycling and second-life market (2027 modelled)

PwC ASEAN Circular Batteries 2025, IEA Global EV Outlook 2025, Insight Research bottom-up

End-2026 estimate
~200,000+

Thai BEV cumulative registrations (2026 estimate)

DLT BEV new-registration series, IEA Global EV Outlook 2025

2025-2027 ramp
~10 GWh

BYD Rayong gigafactory planned cell-to-pack throughput

BYD Auto Thailand press, BOI EV3.5 disclosures

Phase 1 live, scaling to 2027
1 GWh, scaling 4 GWh

EA Amita Technology Chachoengsao battery plant capacity

Energy Absolute SET 56-1, Amita Technology disclosures

Active 2025-2030
8-year tax holiday

BOI Section 8 incentive coverage for EOL battery processors

Thailand Board of Investment Section 8 schedule

2027 modelled
NMC hydromet ~38%

Formal-flow recycling route mix (2027 modelled)

PwC ASEAN Circular Batteries 2025, operator capacity disclosures, Insight Research bottom-up

Report context

Thailand EV Battery Recycling & Second-Life 2027 Market Intelligence

Thailand's 30:30 EV policy has front-loaded BEV registrations from ~9,700 in 2022 to ~120,000 in 2024 and an estimated ~200,000+ in 2026, creating an end-of-life battery cliff that arrives 2028-2030. Cumulative EV battery installed base entering the scrap pipeline 2027-2030 reaches roughly 25-40 GWh, a structural step-change from the THB 1-2B (2024) salvage market. 2027 catalysts: BYD Rayong gigafactory plus Foxconn-PTT Horizon Plus plus EA Amita Technology requiring local cell-to-pack reverse logistics, BOI Section 8 promotion for EOL processors, the Pollution Control Department Battery EPR Order, the Ministry of Industry Vehicle End-of-Life Bill, and Korean (SungEel) and Chinese (GEM) joint-venture scoping. Report maps the route mix (NMC hydromet, LFP direct, second-life ESS, refurbishment), operator concentration, regulation, unit economics, and 2031 scenarios.

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Atlas actors in this figure's reports

Profiles covered in the report that cite this number.

B.Grimm Power

Industrial-estate SPP cogen specialist — 4GW+ across ASEAN; FY2024 revenue ~THB 60B.

EGCO Group (Electricity Generating Public Company, SET: EGCO)

Thai-listed independent power producer (SET: EGCO); 5,000+ MW equity capacity across Thailand, Philippines, Lao PDR, and Australia.

Global Power Synergy

PTT Group listed power arm — 7GW+ across Thailand, Taiwan, India, Laos; FY2024 revenue ~THB 80B.

Cumulative Thai EV battery installed base entering scrap pipeline 2027-2030 · Insight