Thailand LNG & Natural Gas Import Infrastructure Market Intelligence
Thai domestic gas (Erawan, Bongkot, Myanmar pipeline) in structural decline; LNG imports scaling to ~27 Mtpa regas capacity by 2029. PTT LNG incumbent; Gulf LNG, EGAT, GPSC enter under ERC TPA.
Key takeaways
- 1
Thailand imported about 12.5 Mt of LNG in 2024 (about of national gas supply); LNG share rises to about by 2037 under EPPO's Gas Plan 2024 as domestic Gulf production plateaus and Myanmar pipeline imports phase down.
- 2
Domestic Gulf of Thailand supply (about of 2024 gas) is anchored by PTTEP-operated G1/61 Erawan and G2/61 Bongkot, targeting a combined plateau near 1500 MMcf/D after the April 2022 Chevron-to-PTTEP operatorship handover at Erawan.
- 3
Regas capacity scales from 19 Mtpa today (PTT LNG Map Ta Phut Terminal 1 at 11.5 Mtpa, Nong Fab Terminal 2 at 7.5 Mtpa) to about 27 Mtpa by 2029 with Gulf MTP Phase 3 (Terminal 3, 8 Mtpa initial, expandable to 10.8 Mtpa).
- 4
ERC's Third Party Access Code ends PTT's import monopoly: Gulf LNG (6.4 Mtpa licence, first cargo January 2025), EGAT, GPSC, B.Grimm hold shipper licences. Spot vs. long-term mix increasingly contested.
- 5
Long-term LNG supply diversifies: PTT-Cheniere 1.0 Mtpa Corpus Christi (2026-2046, renegotiating up to 1.3 Mtpa), Qatar about 2.3 Mt 2024, Australia about 2.1 Mt 2024, plus PTT-Centrica (UK, 2028 deliveries), and Russia Sakhalin spot.
- 6
Our read: LNG infrastructure is a 5-year capex story; the 2025-2029 window decides whether Thailand becomes a regional ASEAN LNG hub or carries a stranded-asset overhang as PDP 2024 reduces gas-fired installed capacity from (2023) to (2037).
Executive summary
Thailand's natural gas system in 2024 ran on roughly 4.8-5.0 bcf/d of supply: domestic Gulf of Thailand fields contributed about (Erawan G1/61 and Bongkot G2/61 anchored by PTTEP after the Chevron operatorship handover in April 2022), Myanmar pipeline imports (Yadana, Yetagun, Zawtika) about , and LNG imports about (roughly 12.5 Mt, up from 11 Mt in 2023). The remainder is city gas and condensate. Power generation absorbs about of gas; industrial direct and city gas about ; PTT's Gas Separation Plant and petrochemical feedstock about ; NGV and other roughly .[, , ]
The supply mix is shifting fast. Erawan production collapsed from about 1.185 bcf/d in 2020 to 376 MMcf/D at handover (April 2022) as Chevron wound down investment ahead of transfer; PTTEP has spent the past three years rebuilding wells and infill drilling to hold a combined Erawan-Bongkot plateau near 1500 MMcf/D. Myanmar's Yadana and Yetagun fields are mature; Naypyitaw has signalled no future export commitments to Thailand beyond existing contracts, removing about 0.6-0.7 bcf/d of optionality through the early 2030s.[, , ]
LNG fills the gap. Regas capacity is 19 Mtpa today across PTT LNG Map Ta Phut Terminal 1 (11.5 Mtpa, commissioned 2011 and expanded 2018) and Nong Fab Terminal 2 (7.5 Mtpa, commissioned 2022). Gulf MTP Phase 3 (Terminal 3), a Gulf Development / PTT Tank Terminal JV with Posco E&C as EPC contractor, adds 8 Mtpa initial (expandable to 10.8) at COD targeted Q1 2029. EGAT is exploring an FSRU pilot as a faster-to-deploy option. Long-term supply is anchored by PTT-Cheniere (1.0 Mtpa Corpus Christi for 20 years from 2026, with Thai officials seeking 1.3 Mtpa), Qatar (about 2.3 Mt 2024), Australia North West Shelf (about 2.1 Mt 2024), PTT-Centrica UK (deliveries from 2028), and Russia Sakhalin via spot.[, , ]
Thailand LNG imports trend (Mt, 2020-2024)
2020
LNG imports (Mt)
5.6
Context
COVID demand trough; spot heavy
2021
LNG imports (Mt)
7.1
Context
Power demand recovery; Erawan handover risk priced in
2022
LNG imports (Mt)
8.9
Context
Erawan production collapse drives spot reliance; TTF spike
2023
LNG imports (Mt)
11.0
Context
Nong Fab Terminal 2 first full year; about 78% of gas imports
| Year | LNG imports (Mt) | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5.6 | COVID demand trough; spot heavy |
| 2021 | 7.1 | Power demand recovery; Erawan handover risk priced in |
| 2022 | 8.9 | Erawan production collapse drives spot reliance; TTF spike |
| 2023 | 11.0 | Nong Fab Terminal 2 first full year; about 78% of gas imports |
| 2024 | 12.5 | Gulf LNG (Jan 2025) onboarding; about 32% of national gas supply |
Gas supply mix by source (% of FY2024 supply)
Domestic Gulf of Thailand
Share %
48%
Notes
PTTEP G1/61 Erawan, G2/61 Bongkot, third-party fields
LNG imports
Share %
Notes
Map Ta Phut T1 (11.5 Mtpa), Nong Fab T2 (7.5 Mtpa)
Myanmar pipeline
Share %
Notes
Yadana, Yetagun, Zawtika; structural decline through 2030s
Other (city gas, condensate)
Share %
4%
Notes
Bongkok-area, GSP residuals, biogas
| Source | Share % | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Domestic Gulf of Thailand | 48% | PTTEP G1/61 Erawan, G2/61 Bongkot, third-party fields |
| LNG imports | 32% | Map Ta Phut T1 (11.5 Mtpa), Nong Fab T2 (7.5 Mtpa) |
| Myanmar pipeline | 16% | Yadana, Yetagun, Zawtika; structural decline through 2030s |
| Other (city gas, condensate) | 4% | Bongkok-area, GSP residuals, biogas |
Gas demand mix by offtaker (% of FY2024 demand)
NGV transport, other
Share %
7%
Notes
Bus, taxi NGV (declining); BTS, MRT auxiliary
| Offtaker | Share % | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Power generation | 60% | EGAT, IPP (Gulf, EGCO, B.Grimm), SPP cogen |
| Industrial direct, city gas | 18% | PTT NGD city-gas grid; industrial estates |
| GSP, petrochem feedstock | 15% | PTT GSP1-6 ethane, propane for PTTGC, SCG |
| NGV transport, other | 7% | Bus, taxi NGV (declining); BTS, MRT auxiliary |
Analyst framing
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Key figures
Selected anchors from the report evidence pack.
Thailand LNG import volume (2020-2024)
EPPO Thailand Energy Statistics; GIIGNL Annual Report 2024; PTT Annual Report 2024
Thailand domestic natural gas production (2020-2024)
Department of Mineral Fuels
Natural gas share of Thailand power generation (2020-2024)
EGAT Annual Report 2024; EPPO Electricity Statistics; Energy Regulatory Commission
Thailand LNG terminal regasification capacity (ranked)
PTT LNG company disclosures; EPPO; Energy Regulatory Commission tariff filings; Gulf Energy Development
Thailand LNG supply by source country (2024)
PTT LNG cargo disclosures; GIIGNL Annual Report 2024; Argus Media LNG trade flow
PDP 2024 gas-to-power target (2037)
Energy Policy and Planning Office
Thailand draft carbon tax rate (2025-2026)
MoNRE Climate Change Act draft; Excise Department; Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization
Erawan and Bongkot field plateau production
PTTEP Annual Report 2024; Department of Mineral Fuels
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