Reference
·Supporting source
Thai Customs projected 2026 cross-border parcel revenue
~THB 7-10B (2026F)
The Thai Customs Department projects 2026 revenue from cross-border e-commerce parcel duty and VAT at roughly THB 7-10 billion (USD 200-280 million), up sharply from estimated THB 1-2 billion in 2023 prior to the July 2024 closure of the under-THB-1,500 VAT exemption. The Revenue Department companion guidance extends 7% VAT to all imported low-value parcels regardless of declared value, captured at the platform consignee level for Shein, Temu, and AliExpress under a designated foreign-platform VAT registration regime.
Figure in context
The Thai Customs Department projects 2026 revenue from cross-border e-commerce parcel duty and VAT at roughly THB 7-10 billion (USD 200-280 million), up sharply from estimated THB 1-2 billion in 2023 prior to the July 2024 closure of the under-THB-1,500 VAT exemption. The Revenue Department companion guidance extends 7% VAT to all imported low-value parcels regardless of declared value, captured at the platform consignee level for Shein, Temu, and AliExpress under a designated foreign-platform VAT registration regime.
The Thai Customs Department projects 2026 revenue from cross-border e-commerce parcel duty and VAT at roughly THB 7-10 billion (USD 200-280 million), up sharply from estimated THB 1-2 billion in 2023 prior to the July 2024 closure of the under-THB-1,500 VAT exemption. The Revenue Department companion guidance extends 7% VAT to all imported low-value parcels regardless of declared value, captured at the platform consignee level for Shein, Temu, and AliExpress under a designated foreign-platform VAT registration regime.
Time scope
FY2026 projection
Source basis
Supporting source
Interpretation notes
What this tells you
The Thai Customs Department projects 2026 revenue from cross-border e-commerce parcel duty and VAT at roughly THB 7-10 billion (USD 200-280 million), up sharply from estimated THB 1-2 billion in 2023 prior to the July 2024 closure of the under-THB-1,500 VAT exemption. The Revenue Department companion guidance extends 7% VAT to all imported low-value parcels regardless of declared value, captured at the platform consignee level for Shein, Temu, and AliExpress under a designated foreign-platform VAT registration regime.
What not to do with it
Projection assumes parcel volume continues at 2024-2025 trajectory and full enforcement of the foreign-platform VAT registration regime. Downside scenario (partial compliance) is ~THB 4-5B.
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