Thailand Environmental & Carbon Credit Services Market Intelligence
Thai environmental and carbon-credit services ~THB 10-12B in 2026. Draft Climate Change Act Cabinet-approved Dec 2025, THB 200/tCO2e oil carbon tax live, Premium T-VER CORSIA-eligible, Article 6.2 ITMOs to Switzerland.
Key takeaways
- 1
Thai environmental and carbon-credit services market ~ in 2026 (~), tracking roughly per year growth as Draft Climate Change Act, CBAM definitive phase, ISSB / IFRS S2, and SEC 56-1 disclosure all compound demand.
- 2
Cabinet approved the Draft Climate Change Act in December 2025; it codifies a mandatory ETS for ~300 large facilities (Chapter 8, Sections 74-100), carbon tax on coal, oil, gas, a CBAM-equivalent border adjustment, and a regulated voluntary market. Enforcement targeted 2027-28; full carbon pricing around 2030.
- 3
Carbon tax is already live: /tCO2e on gasoline, kerosene, jet fuel, diesel, LPG, furnace oil via the Excise Tax Act since March 2025. Absorbed within existing excise band so no retail price change. Broader /tCO2e coal-and-gas tax envisaged in the Climate Act.
- 4
T-VER and Premium T-VER registries are the Thai-domestic anchors (TGO under MNRE). Premium T-VER is ICAO-approved for CORSIA Phase 1 (2024-26); five Thai carriers face combined offset demand of more than 400,000 tCO2e through CAAT. Switzerland-Thailand executed the world's first Article 6.2 ITMO transfer in January 2024 (Bangkok electric bus programme).
- 5
Service mix: project development ~, ESG / CBAM advisory ~, EIA and compliance ~, assurance and ISO 14064 / 14067 verification ~, ESG data and RECs trading desks ~. International consultancies (ERM, Arcadis, Ramboll, Tetra Tech) and Big 4 sustainability practices lead advisory; boutique developers lead project origination.
- 6
Corporate demand anchors: Bangchak (Carbon Markets Club, BCPG, BBGI), PTT-PTTEP (Arthit CCS final investment decision 2024, 41.4 Mt CO2e 2024 emissions), SCG (cement decarbonisation, CBAM exposure), Banpu Next, Energy Absolute, GPSC, Thai Union, CPF, AIS, BBL.
Executive summary
Thailand's environmental and carbon-credit services market is approximately (~) in 2026, on track for roughly per-year growth from a 2024 baseline of around . The growth is policy-driven: the Cabinet approved the Draft Climate Change Act in December 2025 with a mandatory Emissions Trading Scheme for roughly 300 designated facilities, carbon tax on coal, oil, and natural gas, a CBAM-equivalent border adjustment, and a regulated voluntary market sitting on top of TGO's existing T-VER and Premium T-VER registries. Full enforcement is targeted for 2027-28 with carbon pricing expected around 2030.[, , ]
A preliminary carbon tax of per tonne of CO2 equivalent already runs through the Excise Tax Act since March 2025, covering gasoline, kerosene, jet fuel, diesel, LPG, and furnace oil. The tax is absorbed within the existing excise band so retail prices have not changed, but it establishes a concrete reference price that the Climate Act framework can escalate. Premium T-VER, TGO's higher-rigour standard, was approved by ICAO as a CORSIA Phase 1 (2024-26) eligible programme; CAAT submitted Thai carrier compliance plans in July 2024 with combined offset demand above 400,000 tCO2e. Switzerland and Thailand executed the world's first Article 6.2 Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcome transfer in January 2024 (Bangkok electric bus programme), followed by approximately 29,222 additional ITMOs in 2025.[, , , ]
Service mix splits across project development (T-VER, Premium T-VER, Verra VCS, Gold Standard origination and MRV) at roughly of revenue, ESG and CBAM advisory at , EIA and pollution-control consulting at , ISO 14064 / 14067 assurance at , and ESG data, disclosure platforms, RECs trading desks at the remaining . The advisory layer is led internationally by ERM Thailand, Arcadis Thailand, Ramboll Thailand, Tetra Tech, and the Big 4 sustainability practices (Deloitte, EY, KPMG, PwC). Boutique developers and ONEP-licensed EIA consultants populate the project-development and compliance layers. Corporate demand is anchored by Bangchak (Carbon Markets Club, BCPG renewables, BBGI biofuels), PTT-PTTEP (Arthit offshore CCS, 41.4 Mt CO2e 2024 group emissions), SCG (cement decarbonisation, CBAM-exposed), Banpu and Banpu NEXT, Energy Absolute, GPSC, Thai Union, CPF, AIS, and BBL.[, , , , , ]
Thai environmental and carbon-credit services market (THB billion, 2020-2026)
2020
Market (THB B)
2
Context
Early corporate ESG, EIA baseline; TGO T-VER first cumulative trades
2022
Market (THB B)
4
Context
Corporate net-zero announcements scale; ISSB consultation
2024
Market (THB B)
8
Context
Switzerland-Thailand ITMO (Jan 2024); KResearch CBAM modelling published
2025
Market (THB B)
10
Context
Carbon tax $5.8/tCO2e on oil from March; Cabinet approves Climate Act (Dec)
2026
Market (THB B)
11
Context
CBAM definitive phase live (Jan); SET-ICE carbon platform build-out
| Year | Market (THB B) | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2 | Early corporate ESG, EIA baseline; TGO T-VER first cumulative trades |
| 2022 | 4 | Corporate net-zero announcements scale; ISSB consultation |
| 2024 | 8 | Switzerland-Thailand ITMO (Jan 2024); KResearch CBAM modelling published |
| 2025 | 10 | Carbon tax $5.8/tCO2e on oil from March; Cabinet approves Climate Act (Dec) |
| 2026 | 11 | CBAM definitive phase live (Jan); SET-ICE carbon platform build-out |
Service mix (% of FY2026 revenue)
T-VER, Premium T-VER, VCS, Gold Standard project development
ESG, climate strategy, CBAM advisory
EIA, pollution-control, environmental compliance
Share %
Leaders
ERM, Arcadis, Ramboll, Tetra Tech, ONEP-licensed boutiques
Assurance, ISO 14064 / 14067 verification
Share %
Leaders
Bureau Veritas, SGS, LRQA, TUV SUD, DNV (TISI-certified)
ESG data, disclosure platforms, RECs trading desks
Share %
8%
Leaders
SET Carbon platform, EGAT I-REC issuer, REC Thailand, vendor SaaS
| Service line | Share % | Leaders |
|---|---|---|
| T-VER, Premium T-VER, VCS, Gold Standard project development | 32% | TGO-accredited developers, BCPG, EA, GPSC, boutiques |
| ESG, climate strategy, CBAM advisory | 26% | Big 4 (Deloitte, EY, KPMG, PwC), MBB, SCB EIC, KResearch |
| EIA, pollution-control, environmental compliance | 20% | ERM, Arcadis, Ramboll, Tetra Tech, ONEP-licensed boutiques |
| Assurance, ISO 14064 / 14067 verification | 14% | Bureau Veritas, SGS, LRQA, TUV SUD, DNV (TISI-certified) |
| ESG data, disclosure platforms, RECs trading desks | 8% | SET Carbon platform, EGAT I-REC issuer, REC Thailand, vendor SaaS |
Analyst framing
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Key figures
Selected anchors from the report evidence pack.
Thailand T-VER registered project count (2020-2024)
Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization, T-VER Programme annual report, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment
T-VER credit issuance volume (2020-2024)
Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization, T-VER annual issuance reports, Carbon Markets Club disclosures
Thailand carbon services sector revenue (2020-2024)
TGO, industry estimates, BCPG/GULF/EA sustainability reports, Bureau Veritas / SGS / DNV Thailand disclosures
Average T-VER credit price (THB per tCO2e, 2020-2024)
Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization, Carbon Markets Club, F&BS Thailand reports
T-VER project type mix by methodology
Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization, T-VER project register, Carbon Markets Club analysis
Thai exporter EU CBAM Phase 2 cost exposure
European Commission CBAM technical guidance, Federation of Thai Industries, BOT, TGO impact modelling
Switzerland-Thailand Article 6.2 ITMO transaction
Swiss Federal Office for the Environment, KliK Foundation, TGO, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment
Premium T-VER approved methodology count
Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization, Premium T-VER methodology register, TGO annual report
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