Reference
·Supporting source
EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) impact on Thai exports
~USD 200-300M EU exposure
The EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR, Regulation 2023/1115), with phased entry-into-force from December 2025, requires importers to demonstrate that wood, rubber, palm oil, soy, coffee, cocoa, and cattle products were produced on land not deforested after 31 December 2020. Thailand exports approximately USD 200-300 million per year of HS 44 wood products and downstream furniture to the EU 27 — roughly 4-6% of total HS 44 export value. Compliance requires geolocation traceability to plot level. Rubberwood byproduct from smallholder plots is the highest-risk subset because Thai smallholder rubber plantations are not yet broadly enrolled in chain-of-custody schemes (FSC, PEFC). FIO and RAOT are coordinating a national traceability framework to maintain EU market access.
Figure in context
The EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR, Regulation 2023/1115), with phased entry-into-force from December 2025, requires importers to demonstrate that wood, rubber, palm oil, soy, coffee, cocoa, and cattle products were produced on land not deforested after 31 December 2020. Thailand exports approximately USD 200-300 million per year of HS 44 wood products and downstream furniture to the EU 27 — roughly 4-6% of total HS 44 export value. Compliance requires geolocation traceability to plot level. Rubberwood byproduct from smallholder plots is the highest-risk subset because Thai smallholder rubber plantations are not yet broadly enrolled in chain-of-custody schemes (FSC, PEFC). FIO and RAOT are coordinating a national traceability framework to maintain EU market access.
The EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR, Regulation 2023/1115), with phased entry-into-force from December 2025, requires importers to demonstrate that wood, rubber, palm oil, soy, coffee, cocoa, and cattle products were produced on land not deforested after 31 December 2020. Thailand exports approximately USD 200-300 million per year of HS 44 wood products and downstream furniture to the EU 27 — roughly 4-6% of total HS 44 export value. Compliance requires geolocation traceability to plot level. Rubberwood byproduct from smallholder plots is the highest-risk subset because Thai smallholder rubber plantations are not yet broadly enrolled in chain-of-custody schemes (FSC, PEFC). FIO and RAOT are coordinating a national traceability framework to maintain EU market access.
Time scope
EUDR phased entry from December 2025
Source basis
Supporting source
Interpretation notes
What this tells you
The EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR, Regulation 2023/1115), with phased entry-into-force from December 2025, requires importers to demonstrate that wood, rubber, palm oil, soy, coffee, cocoa, and cattle products were produced on land not deforested after 31 December 2020. Thailand exports approximately USD 200-300 million per year of HS 44 wood products and downstream furniture to the EU 27 — roughly 4-6% of total HS 44 export value. Compliance requires geolocation traceability to plot level. Rubberwood byproduct from smallholder plots is the highest-risk subset because Thai smallholder rubber plantations are not yet broadly enrolled in chain-of-custody schemes (FSC, PEFC). FIO and RAOT are coordinating a national traceability framework to maintain EU market access.
What not to do with it
USD 200-300M is the addressable EU exposure under HS 44 plus downstream furniture. Compliance cost estimates vary widely; smallholder traceability is the binding constraint.
Related figures
Adjacent numbers that add context without drowning the value.
Thailand forestry and timber sector revenue (2020-2024)
Forest Industry Organization
Thailand eucalyptus plantation area (2020-2024)
Royal Forest Department
Thailand rubberwood byproduct volume (2020-2024)
Rubber Authority of Thailand
Thailand HS 4407-4412 wood product exports (2020-2024)
Thai Customs Department; Ministry of Commerce; FTI Wood Industry Club
Thailand commercial plantation mix by species (2024)
Royal Forest Department
FIO teak harvest volume
Forest Industry Organization
Report context
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