Reference

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Supporting source

Thailand Alcohol-Free Beer Shelf Share Target

~2.5-3.2% of beer shelf by 2027 (vs <1% in 2024)

As of2027 forecast vs 2024 baseline·Sources5·Supporting

The IWSR Thailand alcohol-free beer 2025 outlook places the alcohol-free beer category at sub-1 percent of beer shelf in 2024 and on track to 2.5 to 3.2 percent by 2027. Boon Rawd Brewery (Singha Zero, launched March 2026) targets 1.2 percent of total beer-shelf share by end-2027; ThaiBev (Chang Beer Cheers Zero portfolio including Lemon variant) targets 1.3 percent; Carlsberg Thailand (Carlsberg 0.0, launched February 2026) plus Heineken 0.0 split the remainder. The Excise Department sin-tax pivot effective April 2027 (alcohol up 6 percent, sugar-sweetened beverage Tier 5) flattens the retail-shelf price gap between alcohol and alcohol-free premium SKUs by approximately 8 to 12 percent, accelerating substitution at premium HoReCa and modern trade.

Figure in context

The IWSR Thailand alcohol-free beer 2025 outlook places the alcohol-free beer category at sub-1 percent of beer shelf in 2024 and on track to 2.5 to 3.2 percent by 2027. Boon Rawd Brewery (Singha Zero, launched March 2026) targets 1.2 percent of total beer-shelf share by end-2027; ThaiBev (Chang Beer Cheers Zero portfolio including Lemon variant) targets 1.3 percent; Carlsberg Thailand (Carlsberg 0.0, launched February 2026) plus Heineken 0.0 split the remainder. The Excise Department sin-tax pivot effective April 2027 (alcohol up 6 percent, sugar-sweetened beverage Tier 5) flattens the retail-shelf price gap between alcohol and alcohol-free premium SKUs by approximately 8 to 12 percent, accelerating substitution at premium HoReCa and modern trade.

The IWSR Thailand alcohol-free beer 2025 outlook places the alcohol-free beer category at sub-1 percent of beer shelf in 2024 and on track to 2.5 to 3.2 percent by 2027. Boon Rawd Brewery (Singha Zero, launched March 2026) targets 1.2 percent of total beer-shelf share by end-2027; ThaiBev (Chang Beer Cheers Zero portfolio including Lemon variant) targets 1.3 percent; Carlsberg Thailand (Carlsberg 0.0, launched February 2026) plus Heineken 0.0 split the remainder. The Excise Department sin-tax pivot effective April 2027 (alcohol up 6 percent, sugar-sweetened beverage Tier 5) flattens the retail-shelf price gap between alcohol and alcohol-free premium SKUs by approximately 8 to 12 percent, accelerating substitution at premium HoReCa and modern trade.

Time scope

2027 forecast vs 2024 baseline

Source basis

Supporting source

Interpretation notes

What this tells you

The IWSR Thailand alcohol-free beer 2025 outlook places the alcohol-free beer category at sub-1 percent of beer shelf in 2024 and on track to 2.5 to 3.2 percent by 2027. Boon Rawd Brewery (Singha Zero, launched March 2026) targets 1.2 percent of total beer-shelf share by end-2027; ThaiBev (Chang Beer Cheers Zero portfolio including Lemon variant) targets 1.3 percent; Carlsberg Thailand (Carlsberg 0.0, launched February 2026) plus Heineken 0.0 split the remainder. The Excise Department sin-tax pivot effective April 2027 (alcohol up 6 percent, sugar-sweetened beverage Tier 5) flattens the retail-shelf price gap between alcohol and alcohol-free premium SKUs by approximately 8 to 12 percent, accelerating substitution at premium HoReCa and modern trade.

What not to do with it

Use the linked report for interpretation and keep basis differences explicit.

Related figures

Adjacent numbers that add context without drowning the value.

2027 forecast vs 2024 baseline
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Effective April 2027
Tier 5 added for >18g/100ml; alcohol excise +6%

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Excise Department of Thailand sin-tax schedule adjustment notification December 2025, Ministry of Finance

2027 forecast vs 2024 baseline
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FY2024 baseline
~3.2M diagnosed diabetics, 40.7% adult overweight (2024)

Thai Diabetes and Adult-Overweight Public-Health Driver

Ministry of Public Health Non-Communicable Disease Annual Report 2024, Thaincd.com Department of Disease Control

Report context

Atlas actors in this figure's reports

Profiles covered in the report that cite this number.

Thailand Alcohol-Free Beer Shelf Share Target · Insight