Reference

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Primary source

Thai Diabetes and Adult-Overweight Public-Health Driver

~3.2M diagnosed diabetics, 40.7% adult overweight (2024)

As ofFY2024 baseline·Sources2·Primary

The Ministry of Public Health Non-Communicable Disease Annual Report 2024 estimates roughly 3.2 million diagnosed diabetics in Thailand (with another 2 to 4 million undiagnosed) and an adult-overweight share of 40.7 percent. The same report identifies sugar-sweetened beverage consumption as the third-largest modifiable driver of incident type-2 diabetes after dietary carbohydrate load and physical inactivity. This is the primary public-health lever behind the Excise Department sugar-sweetened beverage Tier 5 introduction and the Thai FDA Functional Beverage Health Claim framework. Insurance and corporate-wellness pressure (Allianz Ayudhya, AIA Thailand) reinforces consumer substitution into low-sugar functional SKUs.

Figure in context

The Ministry of Public Health Non-Communicable Disease Annual Report 2024 estimates roughly 3.2 million diagnosed diabetics in Thailand (with another 2 to 4 million undiagnosed) and an adult-overweight share of 40.7 percent. The same report identifies sugar-sweetened beverage consumption as the third-largest modifiable driver of incident type-2 diabetes after dietary carbohydrate load and physical inactivity. This is the primary public-health lever behind the Excise Department sugar-sweetened beverage Tier 5 introduction and the Thai FDA Functional Beverage Health Claim framework. Insurance and corporate-wellness pressure (Allianz Ayudhya, AIA Thailand) reinforces consumer substitution into low-sugar functional SKUs.

The Ministry of Public Health Non-Communicable Disease Annual Report 2024 estimates roughly 3.2 million diagnosed diabetics in Thailand (with another 2 to 4 million undiagnosed) and an adult-overweight share of 40.7 percent. The same report identifies sugar-sweetened beverage consumption as the third-largest modifiable driver of incident type-2 diabetes after dietary carbohydrate load and physical inactivity. This is the primary public-health lever behind the Excise Department sugar-sweetened beverage Tier 5 introduction and the Thai FDA Functional Beverage Health Claim framework. Insurance and corporate-wellness pressure (Allianz Ayudhya, AIA Thailand) reinforces consumer substitution into low-sugar functional SKUs.

Time scope

FY2024 baseline

Source basis

Primary source

Interpretation notes

What this tells you

The Ministry of Public Health Non-Communicable Disease Annual Report 2024 estimates roughly 3.2 million diagnosed diabetics in Thailand (with another 2 to 4 million undiagnosed) and an adult-overweight share of 40.7 percent. The same report identifies sugar-sweetened beverage consumption as the third-largest modifiable driver of incident type-2 diabetes after dietary carbohydrate load and physical inactivity. This is the primary public-health lever behind the Excise Department sugar-sweetened beverage Tier 5 introduction and the Thai FDA Functional Beverage Health Claim framework. Insurance and corporate-wellness pressure (Allianz Ayudhya, AIA Thailand) reinforces consumer substitution into low-sugar functional SKUs.

What not to do with it

Use the linked report for interpretation and keep basis differences explicit.

Related figures

Adjacent numbers that add context without drowning the value.

2027 forecast vs 2024 baseline
THB 28-44B by 2027 (vs THB 14-19B in 2024)

Thailand Non-Alcoholic and Functional Beverage Market Size

Insight derivation from Euromonitor Thailand soft-drinks 2025, IWSR Thailand alcohol-free beer 2025, SET factsheets, ICHI, OISHI), Kasikorn Research Center 2025, Cube Asia ecommerce tracker 2026

FY2024 vs FY2019 baseline
~38% in 2024 (vs 23% in 2019)

Thai Gen Z 18-24 Alcohol Abstainer Rate

National Statistical Office Survey of Alcohol and Tobacco Smoking Behaviour 2024, Ministry of Public Health NCD Report 2024

2027 forecast vs 2024 baseline
~2.5-3.2% of beer shelf by 2027 (vs <1% in 2024)

Thailand Alcohol-Free Beer Shelf Share Target

IWSR Thailand alcohol-free beer outlook 2025, Boon Rawd Brewery Singha Zero launch March 2026, Thai Beverage PLC FY2024 annual report, Carlsberg Thailand 0.0 launch February 2026, Heineken Thailand on-trade distribution 2026

2024 to 2027 CAGR
~35-50% CAGR 2024 to 2027

Thailand Functional Beverage Compound Annual Growth Rate

Euromonitor Thailand soft-drinks 2025, Kasikorn Research Center 2025, Cube Asia and NielsenIQ ecommerce tracker 2026, SET factsheets, ICHI, OISHI)

Effective April 2027
Tier 5 added for >18g/100ml; alcohol excise +6%

Thailand Sugar-Sweetened Beverage Tier 5 Excise (Effective April 2027)

Excise Department of Thailand sin-tax schedule adjustment notification December 2025, Ministry of Finance

2027 forecast vs 2024 baseline
~30-40% of cocktail revenue by 2027 (vs 12-18% in 2024)

Bangkok HoReCa Mocktail Revenue Share at Top-Tier Cocktail Bars

Asia 50 Best Bars Bangkok mocktail feature April 2026, Lyre's Thailand distribution March 2026, Seedlip Thailand on-trade rollout 2026, Heineken 0.0 Thailand on-trade 2026

Report context

Atlas actors in this figure's reports

Profiles covered in the report that cite this number.

Thai Diabetes and Adult-Overweight Public-Health Driver · Insight